As of Sat Oct 31, 2026 5:29am ET (outside US regular session) · snapshot pulled from public sources · tap i next to any item to learn why it matters
S&P 500
7,720.39
-0.30%
Nasdaq Composite
26,184.72
-1.38%
Dow Jones
51,770.31
-1.09%
Russell 2000
—
VIX
17.20
+1.71%
10Y Treasury
4.98%
-7 bp
Dollar Index (DXY)
—
Bitcoin
$77,363
-0.32%
Rates & the curve
2-Year Treasury
4.61%
-6 bp
10-Year Treasury
4.98%
-7 bp
30-Year Treasury
5.32%
-5 bp
2s10s spread
+37 bp
curve
Positively sloped — no recession-signal inversion currently.
Credit & liquidity
IG spread (OAS)
89 bp
+3 bp
HY spread (OAS)
326 bp
+12 bp
ICE BofA OAS via FRED, as of 2026-10-29 — these series publish with roughly a one-day lag.
Fed watch
Dec 9, 2026 FOMC: hike 25bps
69%odds
Dec 9, 2026 FOMC: hold
30%
Dec 9, 2026 FOMC: hike >25bps
3%
Dec 9, 2026 FOMC: cut >25bps
1%
Live odds from Kalshi's real-money FOMC decision market for Dec 9, 2026. Prices are traded probabilities and need not sum to 100%.
FX
Dollar Index (DXY)
—
EUR/USD
1.1172
+0.38%
USD/JPY
157.25
-0.51%
GBP/USD
1.3399
+0.62%
USD/CHF
0.8230
-0.68%
USD/CNH
6.6529
-0.13%
CAD/USD
0.7159
+0.19%
Majors are ECB reference rates via Frankfurter, which publish once per business day — changes are day-over-day, not intraday. USD/CNH shows the onshore CNY reference rate. DXY is an index level from a separate source. Unavailable this run: DXY.
Global equities
Nikkei 225
63,290.11
-2.12%
Hang Seng
—
Euro Stoxx 50
—
FTSE 100
—
Asia/Europe closes set the overnight tone ahead of the US open. Unavailable this run: Hang Seng, Euro Stoxx 50, FTSE 100. Backup source used for Nikkei 225 — these may lag by a day or omit the day change.
Commodities
Gold
$3,876.40
Silver
$49.25
WTI crude
$103.37
-1.79%
Brent crude
$123.10
-3.92%
Brent trades $19.73 above WTI on this pull. Backup source used for gold, silver, WTI, Brent — these may lag by a day or omit the day change.
Crypto
Bitcoin (BTC)
$77,363
-0.32%
Ethereum (ETH)
$2,243
+0.92%
BTC dominance
59.8%
of total
ETH dominance
10.5%
of total
Dominance and total market cap ($2.60T) from CoinGecko's global snapshot; prices are 24-hour changes, not session changes.
Crypto flows & risk
BTC ETF flow
—
Stablecoins
~$252B
at peg
ETH staking
—
BTC funding
+0.0100%
long-heavy
BTC volatility
~40.6
Stablecoin supply from DefiLlama; funding rate from OKX perpetuals; implied vol is Deribit's BTC DVOL index. Unavailable this run: spot BTC ETF flow (Farside blocks automated requests), ETH staking rate (needs a beaconcha.in API key).
Top headlines
Williams says Fed may not have to hike rates in 2027, at odds with traders
New York Fed President John Williams sees one more rate hike in 2026 but no additional increase in 2027 as inflation pressures ease.
European Central Bank keeps key interest rate on hold at 2.5%
Markets saw the decision as a hawkish pause and were last pricing in a 67% chance of a December rate hike.
Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates
The personal consumption expenditures price index was projected to increase 0.5% in September for an annual rate of 3.7%, according to the Dow Jones consensus.
On deck
FOMC decision — Dec 9, 2026 (market leans hike 25bps, ~69%, vs. fed maintains rate at ~30%)