Daily Market Watch

As of Sun Aug 30, 2026 8:32pm ET (outside US regular session) · snapshot pulled from public sources · tap i next to any item to learn why it matters
S&P 500
7,711.76
-0.25%
Nasdaq Composite
26,402.42
-0.52%
Dow Jones
53,559.99
-0.02%
Russell 2000
VIX
14.51
-4.60%
10Y Treasury
4.67%
+1 bp
Dollar Index (DXY)
Bitcoin
$77,884
-0.43%

Rates & the curve

2-Year Treasury4.20%+1 bp
10-Year Treasury4.67%+1 bp
30-Year Treasury5.19%+1 bp
2s10s spread+47 bpcurve
Positively sloped — no recession-signal inversion currently.

Credit & liquidity

IG spread (OAS)79 bp-1 bp
HY spread (OAS)263 bp-4 bp
ICE BofA OAS via FRED, as of 2026-08-27 — these series publish with roughly a one-day lag.

Fed watch

Sep 16, 2026 FOMC: hike 25bps53%odds
Sep 16, 2026 FOMC: hold47%
Sep 16, 2026 FOMC: hike >25bps2%
Sep 16, 2026 FOMC: cut >25bps1%
Live odds from Kalshi's real-money FOMC decision market for Sep 16, 2026. Prices are traded probabilities and need not sum to 100%.

FX

Dollar Index (DXY)
EUR/USD1.1643-0.02%
USD/JPY159.68+0.18%
GBP/USD1.3583+0.01%
USD/CHF0.8043-0.11%
USD/CNH6.7209+0.01%
CAD/USD0.7218+0.11%
Majors are ECB reference rates via Frankfurter, which publish once per business day — changes are day-over-day, not intraday. USD/CNH shows the onshore CNY reference rate. DXY is an index level from a separate source. Unavailable this run: DXY.

Global equities

Nikkei 22566,405.56+0.41%
Hang Seng
Euro Stoxx 50
FTSE 100
Asia/Europe closes set the overnight tone ahead of the US open. Unavailable this run: Hang Seng, Euro Stoxx 50, FTSE 100. Backup source used for Nikkei 225 — these may lag by a day or omit the day change.

Commodities

Gold$4,466.40
Silver$66.79
WTI crude$83.90-2.83%
Brent crude$88.24-4.82%
Brent trades $4.34 above WTI on this pull. Backup source used for gold, silver, WTI, Brent — these may lag by a day or omit the day change.

Crypto

Bitcoin (BTC)$77,884-0.43%
Ethereum (ETH)$2,429-1.31%
BTC dominance59.7%of total
ETH dominance11.2%of total
Dominance and total market cap ($2.61T) from CoinGecko's global snapshot; prices are 24-hour changes, not session changes.

Crypto flows & risk

BTC ETF flow
Stablecoins~$257Bat peg
ETH staking
BTC funding+0.0068%neutral
BTC volatility~36.9
Stablecoin supply from DefiLlama; funding rate from OKX perpetuals; implied vol is Deribit's BTC DVOL index. Unavailable this run: spot BTC ETF flow (Farside blocks automated requests), ETH staking rate (needs a beaconcha.in API key).

Top headlines

  • U.S. economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July
    Nonfarm payrolls were projected to increase by 83,000 in July while the unemployment rate would hold steady at 4.2%, according to the Dow Jones consensus.
  • Kalshi traders think the bitcoin rally could end the year near current levels
    Speculators on the prediction market platform think it's most likely that the cryptocurrency will end 2026 close to where it's now trading.
  • Stanley Druckenmiller leads doubters who think Bessent's bond ploys will fail
    The bond market interventions have generated a modest decline in yields along with a growing chorus of derision.

On deck

  • FOMC decision — Sep 16, 2026 (market leans hike 25bps, ~53%, vs. fed maintains rate at ~47%)
  • Following FOMC decision — Oct 28, 2026
  • Following FOMC decision — Dec 9, 2026